Match Info

Date: 7 March 2022, Monday


	Napredak Kruševac		Proleter Novi Sad

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	1.89	2.95	3.75
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	2.02	3.06	4.12
	1.91	3.1	3.75
	1.94	3.25	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.81)	3.09 ↓ (3.49)	3.82 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napredak Kruševac
46.9%

Draw
29.3%

Proleter Novi Sad
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

17.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Proleter Novi Sad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napredak Kruševac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Proleter Novi Sad than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Proleter Novi Sad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Napredak Kruševac - Proleter Novi Sad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group) and 13 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Napredak won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Proleter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Napredak have a series of guest games.

In this match Napredak is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Napredak won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Napredak won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
02.03.22	Čukarički - Napredak Kruševac	3:0 ✺
26.02.22	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Topola	2:2 ✺
21.02.22	Radnik Surdulica - Napredak Kruševac	0:0 ✺
14.02.22	Vojvodina - Napredak Kruševac	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.02.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Napredak Kruševac	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLL
- Proleter Novi Sad
Serbian Superliga
01.03.22	Proleter Novi Sad - Spartak Subotica	0:3 ✺
25.02.22	Mladost Lučani - Proleter Novi Sad	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Proleter Novi Sad - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Radnički 1923 - Proleter Novi Sad	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.22	Akron Tolyatti - Proleter Novi Sad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
27.09.21	Proleter Novi Sad - Napredak Kruševac	1:0
24.04.21	Napredak Kruševac - Proleter Novi Sad	5:0
07.11.20	Proleter Novi Sad - Napredak Kruševac	1:0
07.03.20	Napredak Kruševac - Proleter Novi Sad	0:0
29.09.19	Proleter Novi Sad - Napredak Kruševac	2:0
25.04.19	Napredak Kruševac - Proleter Novi Sad	2:0
05.12.18	Napredak Kruševac - Proleter Novi Sad	1:1

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