The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napredak Kruševac 13.9%
Draw 21.2%
IMT Novi Beograd 65%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
26.9%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
26.1%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napredak Kruševac's form might have worsened.
IMT Novi Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IMT Novi Beograd's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napredak Kruševac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IMT Novi Beograd than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IMT Novi Beograd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
IMT Novi Beograd will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
84. Balevic L. (G) 23. Bojat D. 5. Bukorac S. 77. Drobnjak L. 95. Miletic V. 4. Krstic F. 31. Ilic J. 91. Tasovski V. 10. Vulic M. (C) 33. Bogdanovski N. 11. Majdevac A.
55. Cancarevic O. (G) 45. Casas I. 6. Jovanovic V. 65. Sapic S. 3. Martos I. 25. Krstic N. (C) 22. Novicic V. 18. Tiendrebeogo J. 37. Boulaya F. 99. Keita C. 19. Lebi O.
Substitutes
12. Bastajic N. 24. Ignjatovic U. 14. Laban L. 70. Miladinovic L. 6. Ristic S. 1. Savic V. (G) 44. Skrobonja N. 17. Sremcevic U. 18. Stevanovic N. 22. Toseski M. 7. Vukajlovic N.
12. Gicic K. (G) 7. Glisic N. 14. Jevtic M. 11. Juninho 94. Kiankaulua V. 8. Lukovic L. 40. Radivojevic D. 27. Radocaj V. 5. Sissako M. 10. Zagar D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Bukorac S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Krstic N. ↓, Zagar D. ↑,
62', Bogdanovski N. ↓, Bastajic N. ↑,
63', Vulic M. ↓, Toseski M. ↑,
65', Miletic V. 🟨,
65', Zagar D. 🟨,
69', Lebi O. ↓, Glisic N. ↑,
76', Krstic F. ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,
82', Sapic S. ↓, Lukovic L. ↑,
82', Boulaya F. ↓, Kiankaulua V. ↑,
82', Miletic V. ↓, Vukajlovic N. ↑,
82', Tasovski V. ↓, Ignjatovic U. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Glisic N. ⚽, Lukovic L. (A),
88', Drobnjak L. 🟨,
90', Majdevac A. 🟨,
90+4', Ignjatovic U. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 2.
Napredak has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
IMT has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, IMT is the obvious favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).