Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 4

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Mladost Kruševac (Kruševac)

Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Napredak Kruševac		Partizan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	2.88	3.35	2.25	Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.27
	3.54	3.51	1.99	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	2.92	3.3	2.29
	4.3	3.7	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (4.3)	3.37 ↓ (3.8)	2.1 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napredak Kruševac
28.4%

Draw
27.4%

Partizan
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24.7%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

24.2%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napredak Kruševac's performance.

Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Partizan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napredak Kruševac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Partizan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Napredak Kruševac - Partizan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Napredak will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Partizan will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Partizan: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Partizan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Balevic L. (G) 27. Cubra D. 25. Djekovic N. 5. Bukorac S. 7. Vukajlovic N. 22. Toseski M. 4. Krstic F. 44. Hajdin S. 9. Bubanj M. 11. Majdevac A. 12. Bastajic N. (C)	1. Milosevic M. (G) 44. Milic S. 40. Simic N. 4. Jurcevic M. 2. Stojkovic A. 28. Karabelyov Y. 19. Seck D. 6. Dragojevic V. 10. Natcho B. (C) 7. Milosevic J. 99. Kostic B.
Substitutes
33. Bogdanovski N. 77. Drobnjak L. 24. Ignjatovic U. 14. Laban L. 20. Marinkovic N. 95. Miletic V. 88. Saric M. 1. Savic V. (G) 16. Skocajic D. 31. Subert I. 10. Vulic M.	24. Djurdjevic V. 70. Jankovic D. 42. Jovanovic D. 15. Kalulu A. 9. Kostic A. 31. Krunic M. (G) 30. Roganovic M. 32. Trifunovic N. 36. Ugresic O. 11. Vukotic M. 29. Zahid G.
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Blagojevic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
31', 0 - 1, Milosevic J. ⚽, Seck D. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Natcho B. ⚽, Stojkovic A. (A),
40', 0 - 3, Kostic B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Cubra D. ↓, Ignjatovic U. ↑,
46', Hajdin S. ↓, Bogdanovski N. ↑,
46', Bubanj M. ↓, Drobnjak L. ↑,
46', Milosevic J. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
52', Karabelyov Y. 🟨,
53', 1 - 3, Majdevac A. ⚽, Ignjatovic U. (A),
54', 2 - 3, Majdevac A. ⚽, Toseski M. (A),
57', 2 - 4, Kostic B. ⚽,
60', 2 - 5, Kostic A. ⚽, Jurcevic M. (A),
65', Milic S. ↓, Djurdjevic V. ↑,
65', Seck D. ↓, Trifunovic N. ↑,
66', Dragojevic V. ↓, Ugresic O. ↑,
75', Toseski M. ↓, Vulic M. ↑,
77', Natcho B. ↓, Zahid G. ↑,
85', 2 - 6, Kostic A. ⚽, Ugresic O. (A),
86', Majdevac A. ↓, Skocajic D. ↑,
90', 2 - 7, Djurdjevic V. ⚽, Zahid G. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 1.

Napredak has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Partizan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Napredak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Partizan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.8:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
04.08.25	Železničar Pančevo - Napredak Kruševac	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Napredak Kruševac - Novi Pazar	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Čukarički - Napredak Kruševac	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.25	Slaven Belupo - Napredak Kruševac	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Napredak Kruševac - Ružomberok	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLWT
- FK Partizan
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Partizan - Hibernian	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
03.08.25	Partizan - Radnički 1923	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Partizan - Oleksandriya	4:0 ✺
24.07.25	Oleksandriya - Partizan	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
20.07.25	Železničar Pančevo - Partizan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
24.11.24	Partizan - Napredak Kruševac	0:0
19.07.24	Napredak Kruševac - Partizan	0:1
08.05.24	Napredak Kruševac - Partizan	3:3
13.03.24	Partizan - Napredak Kruševac	0:1
01.10.23	Napredak Kruševac - Partizan	0:2
05.02.23	Napredak Kruševac - Partizan	0:1
20.10.22	Partizan - Napredak Kruševac	1:0

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