Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday


	Napredak Kruševac		Rad

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.95	3.2	3.7
	1.85	2.75	4.35
	1.87	3.05	4.3
	1.93	3.18	4.68
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.85	3.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.74)	3.1 ↓ (3.4)	4.25 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napredak Kruševac
48.8%

Draw
29.6%

Rad
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

18.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

The chances for Rad have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napredak Kruševac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rad than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Napredak Kruševac - Rad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Napredak is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napredak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Napredak is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Napredak won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Napredak won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
26.02.21	Vojvodina - Napredak Kruševac	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Napredak Kruševac - Inđija	1:0 ✺
17.02.21	Radnik Surdulica - Napredak Kruševac	2:1 ✺
12.02.21	Napredak Kruševac - Javor Ivanjica	1:1 ✺
06.02.21	Partizan - Napredak Kruševac	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTL
- Rad Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
27.02.21	Rad - Mladost Lučani	0:1 ✺
22.02.21	Voždovac - Rad	0:1 ✺
16.02.21	Rad - Čukarički	0:2 ✺
12.02.21	Bačka Topola - Rad	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Rad - Proleter Novi Sad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
29.08.20	Rad - Napredak Kruševac	3:1
22.02.20	Rad - Napredak Kruševac	2:0
01.09.19	Napredak Kruševac - Rad	4:0
10.11.18	Rad - Napredak Kruševac	0:2
21.07.18	Napredak Kruševac - Rad	1:0
04.11.17	Rad - Napredak Kruševac	1:0
22.07.17	Napredak Kruševac - Rad	2:2

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