The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nasaf Qarshi 35.4%
Draw 29.3%
Pakhtakor 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
28.4%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
27.6%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pakhtakor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nematov A. (G) 8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 92. Eshmurodov U. (C) 2. Davronov A. 4. Komilov A. 6. Bakhromov S. 15. Rustamov O. 14. Mukhitdinov S. 17. Rakhmatov M. 7. Shala A. 10. Abdikholikov B.
35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 7. Alizhonov K. 10. Mozgovoy A. 4. Tahseen Z. 34. Nasrullaev S. 17. Khamdamov D. 23. Buriev A. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. (C) 21. Resan B. 50. Flamarion 90. Chinedu S.
Substitutes
22. Abdunazarov D. 27. Berdirahmonov Y. 5. Gaybullaev G. 77. Ghudushauri P. 70. Gulomov A. 21. Muratbaev S. (G) 23. Murtazoyev D. 20. Otubanjo Y. 18. Rahmatov B.
20. Abdullaev D. 77. Bozorov O. 11. Erkinov K. 29. Hussein A. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 8. Pouraliganji M. 33. Saydaliev K. . Sharofiddinov D.
Coaches
Berdiev R.
Tadzhiev K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Davronov A. (Own goal),
31', Rustamov O. 🟨,
45+5', Khamdamov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Komilov A. ↓, Gaybullaev G. ↑,
46', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Abdunazarov D. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Mukhitdinov S. ⚽,
52', Sobirkhuzhaev S. 🟨,
55', Abdunazarov D. 🟨,
67', Resan B. ↓, Bozorov O. ↑,
67', Khamdamov D. ↓, Erkinov K. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Bozorov O. ⚽,
72', Rustamov O. ↓, Rahmatov B. ↑,
78', Chinedu S. ↓, Pouraliganji M. ↑,
78', Bakhromov S. ↓, Gulomov A. ↑,
78', Shala A. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
88', Gaybullaev G. 🟨,
88', Flamarion ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Pakhtakor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Nasaf won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
Watch
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Nematov A. (G) 
Shala A. 
Tahseen Z. 
Flamarion 
Chinedu S. 
Ghudushauri P. 
Pouraliganji M. 
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