Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Vatani Stadium (Qa'em Shahr)


	Nassaji Mazandaran		Persepolis

	1	X	2
	4.75	2.9	1.85
	4.9	3.1	1.81
	4.82	3.1	1.79
	5.12	3.05	1.79
	4.9	3.1	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↓ (5)	3.05 ↓ (3.4)	1.81 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nassaji Mazandaran
18.8%

Draw
30.2%

Persepolis
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

26.3%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

25.3%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nassaji Mazandaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Persepolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persepolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Nassaji Mazandaran - Persepolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Persepolis will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Persepolis: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Persepolis (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Persepolis (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Persepolis (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Persepolis (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Luan Polli (G) 88. Nemati S. 22. Mehdipour M. 55. Seifi M. 3. Mohammadzadeh V. 6. Bagheri M. 29. Rostami A. 5. Samdaliri A. 52. Merkel A. . Yakhshiboev J. 81. Barzegar A.	1. Guendouz A. (G) 37. Barajeh Y. 30. Gvelesiani G. 8. Pouraliganji M. 4. Mohammadi M. 70. Urunov O. 35. Enayatzadeh A. 7. Rafiei S. 19. Amiri V. 91. Dursun S. 9. Alipour A.
Substitutes
. Aghaei S. . Houshmand A. . Kalantari A. . Mohammed M. . Pakdel H. . Rezaei A. (G) . Rezaei M. . Reza Hosseini S. M. . Salahi M. . Sheikhirad A. . Yamga K.	. Ahmadzadeh F. . Alkasir I. . Babaei Yekta Abolfazl . Faraji F. . Homaeifard A. . Kanaani H. . Khodabandelou M. . Mehri S. . Rafiei A. (G) . Sarlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yakhshiboev J. ↓, Mohammed M. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Enayatzadeh A. ⚽, Mohammadi M. (A),
66', Barzegar A. ↓, Pakdel H. ↑,
72', Alipour A. ↓, Ahmadzadeh F. ↑,
72', Urunov O. ↓, Khodabandelou M. ↑,
77', Merkel A. 🟥,
81', Khodabandelou M. 🟥,
89', Mehdipour M. ↓, Kalantari A. ↑,
89', Rostami A. ↓, Yamga K. ↑,
90', Rafiei S. ↓, Sarlak M. ↑,
90', Enayatzadeh A. ↓, Mehri S. ↑,
90+1', Sarlak M. 🟨,
90+4', Guendouz A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nassaji won 1.

Recent matches Nassaji is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Persepolis is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Persepolis is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Nassaji won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 9:25 (average 0.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Nassaji won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Pro League
05.04.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Malavan - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLTLW
- Persepolis FC
Iran Pro League
05.04.25	Persepolis - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Persepolis	3:2 ✺
14.03.25	Persepolis - Malavan	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
27.02.25	Persepolis - Esteghlal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
07.12.24	Persepolis - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1
06.05.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Persepolis	1:2
28.12.23	Persepolis - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0
18.05.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Persepolis	0:4
05.01.23	Persepolis - Nassaji Mazandaran	5:1
13.02.22	Nassaji Mazandaran - Persepolis	1:3
27.10.21	Persepolis - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:1

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