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Current Win Probability
National Defense 36.4%
Draw 23.1%
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
24.3%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
24%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
National Defense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for National Defense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kirivong Sok Sen Chey than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
National Defense - Kirivong Sok Sen Chey Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mat L. (G) 9. Ekejiuba V. 50. Kataoka S. 10. Kinoshita R. 8. Mizuno H. 14. Murata S. (C) 11. Nat S. 15. Suk V. 6. Taniguchi T. 2. Vinun O. 4. Yang P.
12. Ath O. 25. Azike E. 13. Chou H. 4. Em C. 27. Huy S. 9. Kouch D. 8. Limbu L. 15. Ofori S. 32. Ry L. P. 24. Sao V. 1. Touch M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ekejiuba V. ⚽, Nat S. (A),
33', Sao V. ↓, Choung M. ↑,
40', 2 - 0, Kinoshita R. ⚽, Ekejiuba V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nat S. ↓, Vorn P. ↑,
46', Em C. ↓, Orn S. ↑,
46', Kinoshita R. ↓, Sreng S. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Azike E. ⚽,
62', Chou H. ↓, Sam D. ↑,
79', Ry L. P. ↓, Ndongo L. W. ↑,
80', Sreng S. ↓, Khorn N. ↑,
82', 🟨,
83', 3 - 1, Vinun O. ⚽, Khorn N. (A),
90+2', Yang P. 🟨,
90+5', Mizuno H. ↓, Ahmath S. ↑,
90+5', Ekejiuba V. ↓, Yim K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, National Defense won 2.
National Defense has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kirivong has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Kirivong might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, National Defense won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:27. (average 2.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, National Defense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2:1.9).
Cambodia
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Mat L. (G) 
Ekejiuba V. 
Kataoka S. 
Limbu L. 
Ofori S. 
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