Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 32

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Navad Urmia		Sanat Naft

	1	X	2
	11	3.8	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	11 ↑ (8)	3.8 ↑ (3.5)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navad Urmia
8.3%

Draw
23.9%

Sanat Naft
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

26%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

20.6%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navad Urmia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Sanat Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sanat Naft's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navad Urmia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sanat Naft, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Rezaei R. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Sangargir H. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Rikani T. ⚽,
39', 1 - 3, Rikani T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 4, Rezaei R. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Navad Urmia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sanat Naft has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sanat Naft is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navad Urmia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
27.06.26	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Navad Urmia	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Navad Urmia - Palayesh Naft	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Navad Urmia - Fard Alborz	0:6 ✺
02.06.26	Havadar - Navad Urmia	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Navad Urmia - Ario Eslamshahr	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Sanat Naft
Iran Division 1
27.06.26	Palayesh Naft - Sanat Naft	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Sanat Naft - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:1 ✺
09.06.26	Sanat Naft - Pars Jonoubi Jam	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Sanat Naft	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Sanat Naft - Kara Gostar Shabestar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
12.12.25	Sanat Naft - Navad Urmia	1:0

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