Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 12

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Navad Urmia		Shahrdari Noshahr

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.87	2.81	Watch
	2.6	2.84	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.26)	2.86 ↑ (2.77)	2.78 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navad Urmia
35.1%

Draw
32%

Shahrdari Noshahr
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

32.8%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

32%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navad Urmia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navad Urmia's form might have worsened.

Shahrdari Noshahr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shahrdari Noshahr's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shahrdari Noshahr than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shahrdari Noshahr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Shahrdari Noshahr has had a series of home games.

Navad Urmia might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
08.11.25	Fard Alborz - Navad Urmia	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Navad Urmia - Havadar	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Ario Eslamshahr - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Navad Urmia - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0 ✺
06.10.25	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Navad Urmia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLTT
- Shahrdari Noshahr
Iran Division 1
08.11.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Palayesh Naft	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Ario Eslamshahr	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Fard Alborz - Shahrdari Noshahr	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLLW

Navad Urmia - Shahrdari Noshahr: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide