Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Naval		Mortágua

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.05	4.30
	1.89	2.99	3.99
	1.9	3.16	4.02	Watch
	1.87	2.95	3.95
	1.77	3.20	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.95)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	4.12 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval
48.9%

Draw
29.3%

Mortágua
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Naval - Mortágua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 4th).

In recent outings, Naval has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Naval holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Naval has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Naval against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Mortagua	6	4	1	1	11:5	6	13
8	Naval 1893	6	2	1	3	6:6	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.10.26	Nogueirense - Naval	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Naval - Felgueiras	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
13.09.26	Naval - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Oliveira Hospital - Naval	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Nogueirense - Naval	1:3 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLW
- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.10.26	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Mortágua - Leça	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
13.09.26	União da Serra - Mortágua	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Covilhã - Mortágua	0:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.08.26	Mortágua - Nazarenos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.03.26	Naval - Mortágua	2:0
29.11.25	Mortágua - Naval	2:2

Naval - Mortágua