Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 19

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Naval Reinosa		Gama

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.25
	1.52	3.45	5
	1.25	5.11	9.34
	1.38	4.5	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	4.32 ↑ (3.36)	6.89 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval Reinosa
65.7%

Draw
21.1%

Gama
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.6%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

25.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval Reinosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naval Reinosa's performance.

Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naval Reinosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gama than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Naval Reinosa - Gama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Naval Reinosa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gama has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Naval Reinosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Naval Reinosa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Naval Reinosa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
29.01.23	Textil Escudo - Naval Reinosa	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Naval Reinosa - Escobedo	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Tropezón - Naval Reinosa	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Naval Reinosa - Atlético Albericia	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	Castro - Naval Reinosa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTLW
- SD Gama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
29.01.23	Gama - Castro	1:3 ✺
21.01.23	Cartes - Gama	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Gama - Cayón	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Gama - Vimenor	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Revilla - Gama	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
02.10.22	Gama - Naval Reinosa	2:1

Naval Reinosa - Gama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide