Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Navarro		Lenense

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	1.82	3.2	3.9
	1.89	3.49	3.69
	1.88	3.53	3.68	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.7
	1.9	3.53	3.84
	2.15	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.15)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	3.56 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navarro
46.9%

Draw
27.4%

Lenense
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navarro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navarro than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Navarro - Lenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 🟥,
59', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Navarro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navarro won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Navarro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Navarro CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
15.03.26	San Martín - Navarro	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Navarro - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Avilés Stadium - Navarro	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Navarro - Llanera	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Real Titánico - Navarro	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32 TWLTW
- SD Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
15.03.26	Lenense - Gijón Industrial	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Praviano - Lenense	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Lenense - Tuilla	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lenense - San Martín	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Covadonga - Lenense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Lenense - Navarro	2:2
30.03.22	Navarro - Lenense	0:0
14.11.21	Lenense - Navarro	1:0
03.01.21	Lenense - Navarro	1:2
01.12.19	Lenense - Navarro	0:0

Navarro - Lenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide