Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Nazillispor		Elazığspor

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.46
	5.6	4	1.49
	6.35	4.09	1.49
	6.22	4.1	1.46	Watch
	5.91	3.8	1.54
	5.6	4	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.86 ↑ (4.82)	4 ↑ (3.44)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nazillispor
15.6%

Draw
22.9%

Elazığspor
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

25.9%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

25.2%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nazillispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Elazığspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elazığspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nazillispor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elazığspor than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Nazillispor - Elazığspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
17', 0 - 1, Tunc Y. ⚽,
19', An E. 🟥,
24', 0 - 2, Caki O. ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, Tunc Y. ⚽,
45+4', 0 - 4, Sonmez H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 5, Frei K. ⚽,
68', 1 - 5, Akgun O. ⚽,
86', 1 - 6, Inan M. (Pen),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Nazillispor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elazığspor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elazığspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elazığspor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nazillispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nazillispor
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.01.25	Vanspor - Nazillispor	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Nazillispor - Giresunspor	4:2 ✺
22.12.24	Derince Belediyespor - Nazillispor	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Nazillispor - Karaman Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Nazillispor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLLW
- Elazığspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.01.25	Elazığspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Elazığspor	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Elazığspor	2:3 ✺
15.12.24	Elazığspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Elazığspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
14.09.24	Elazığspor - Nazillispor	3:1

Nazillispor - Elazığspor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide