Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 4

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arena Joinville (Joinville)


	Nação		Atlético Tubarão

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.98	2.12
	3.38	2.9	2.06
	3.3	2.93	2.23	Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.2
	3.48	2.98	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.6)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)	2.14 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nação
26.9%

Draw
30.9%

Atlético Tubarão
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nação has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nação's form might have worsened.

Atlético Tubarão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nação - Atlético Tubarão Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético Tubarão will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tubarão (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).

Atlético Tubarão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nação won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nação won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tubarao	18	6	5	7	23:21	2	23
7	Nacao	18	5	6	7	19:26	-7	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nação Esportes Canoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
06.05.26	Metropolitano - Nação	5:2 ✺
26.04.26	Grêmio Juventus - Nação	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
13.10.25	Carlos Renaux - Nação	1:1 ✺
07.10.25	Nação - Joinville	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Blumenau - Nação	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTTLL
- Atlético Tubarão
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
06.05.26	Atlético Tubarão - Jaraguá do Sul	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Atlético Tubarão - Grêmio Juventus	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Blumenau - Atlético Tubarão	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
26.10.25	Blumenau - Atlético Tubarão	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Tubarão - Blumenau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
27.07.25	Nação - Atlético Tubarão	1:2
16.07.22	Atlético Tubarão - Nação	0:4

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