Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Nea Salamis		Ermis Aradippou

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.59	3.4	4.8
	1.64	3.3	4.99
	1.67	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)	3.4 (3.4)	4.95 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nea Salamis
55.4%

Draw
26.5%

Ermis Aradippou
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.6%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

21.5%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nea Salamis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ermis Aradippou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nea Salamis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermis Aradippou than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ First Division and 5).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Ermis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nea Salamis is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nea Salamis to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 36-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Nea Salamis won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nea Salamis
Cypriot Division 2
06.02.22	ASIL Lysi - Nea Salamis	0:1 ✺
28.01.22	Nea Salamis - Onisillos Sotiras	3:0 ✺
22.01.22	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Nea Salamis	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Nea Salamis - Anagennisi Dherynia	3:2 ✺
12.01.22	Achyronas Liopetri - Nea Salamis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW
- Ermis Aradippou
Cypriot Division 2
06.02.22	Ermis Aradippou - Akritas Chlorakas	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Ermis Aradippou - Anagennisi Dherynia	3:0 ✺
29.01.22	Ermis Aradippou - ASIL Lysi	3:0 ✺
26.01.22	Omonia 29is Maiou - Ermis Aradippou	2:0 ✺
22.01.22	Onisillos Sotiras - Ermis Aradippou	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot Division 2
15.10.21	Ermis Aradippou - Nea Salamis	3:2
Cypriot First Division
07.05.21	Nea Salamis - Ermis Aradippou	3:1
07.03.21	Ermis Aradippou - Nea Salamis	1:2
05.01.21	Ermis Aradippou - Nea Salamis	1:2
Cypriot Cup
25.11.20	Ermis Aradippou - Nea Salamis	1:2
Cypriot First Division
28.10.20	Nea Salamis - Ermis Aradippou	0:1
26.01.19	Nea Salamis - Ermis Aradippou	1:0

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