Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)


	Nesebar		Rilski Sportist

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.85	3.55
	2.01	2.95	3.62
	2.32	2.92	3.19
	1.99	2.90	3.55
	2.11	3.30	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.25)	2.98 ↓ (3.04)	3.44 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nesebar
43.3%

Draw
30.4%

Rilski Sportist
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

29.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nesebar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Rilski Sportist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rilski Sportist than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Nesebar - Rilski Sportist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Nesebar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Rilski Sportist	11	5	3	3	14:10	4	18
7	Nesebar	11	5	2	4	20:17	3	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Nesebar	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Nesebar - Yantra Gabrovo	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Nesebar - Pirin Blagoevgrad	7:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sportist Svoge - Nesebar	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Nesebar - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LTWWW
- FC Rilski Sportist Samokov
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.09.26	Rilski Sportist - Sportist Svoge	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Rilski Sportist	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Rilski Sportist - Montana	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Rilski Sportist	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Rilski Sportist - Spartak Pleven	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWTT

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