Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 17

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday


	Neudrossenfeld		Eltersdorf

	1	X	2
	4.7	4	1.56
	4.54	3.96	1.59
	4.67	4.08	1.59
	4.71	4	1.57
	4.7	4	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (5.43)	4.01 ↓ (4.23)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neudrossenfeld
19.5%

Draw
22.7%

Eltersdorf
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

21.6%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

20.9%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neudrossenfeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Eltersdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neudrossenfeld than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eltersdorf than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eltersdorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Gobhardt M. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Strobel M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, Forster F. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Kolb S. ⚽,
88', 2 - 3, Loblein M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3).

Recent matches Neudrossenfeld is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eltersdorf is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neudrossenfeld could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eltersdorf is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Neudrossenfeld won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Neudrossenfeld won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Neudrossenfeld
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
15.10.24	Cham - Neudrossenfeld	3:0 ✺
11.10.24	Neudrossenfeld - Fortuna Regensburg	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Ingolstadt II - Neudrossenfeld	5:2 ✺
03.10.24	Neudrossenfeld - Eichstätt	3:1 ✺
27.09.24	Weiden - Neudrossenfeld	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LTLWW
- SC Eltersdorf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
11.10.24	ATSV Erlangen - Eltersdorf	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Eltersdorf - Jahn Regensburg II	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Würzburger FV - Eltersdorf	1:3 ✺
20.09.24	Kornburg - Eltersdorf	0:0 ✺
17.09.24	Eltersdorf - Karlburg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
27.04.24	Eltersdorf - Neudrossenfeld	3:1
03.10.23	Neudrossenfeld - Eltersdorf	1:1
10.04.15	Neudrossenfeld - Eltersdorf	2:2

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