Match Info

Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 20

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Neumarkt		Weiden

	1	X	2
	2	3.85	2.82
	1.58	4.15	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.49)	4 ↓ (4.45)	3.44 ↓ (4.65)

The best margin for this event is 11.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neumarkt
50.8%

Draw
22.7%

Weiden
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

20.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

19.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neumarkt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neumarkt's form might have worsened.

Weiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weiden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neumarkt than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neumarkt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weiden than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Weiden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neumarkt - Weiden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumarkt (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Bayern and 13 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neumarkt won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Weiden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Neumarkt is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Neumarkt won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Neumarkt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Weiden	13	3	3	7	20:29	-9	12
18	Neumarkt	13	1	3	9	10:23	-13	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASV Neumarkt
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
14.04.26	Eintracht Bamberg - Neumarkt	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	ATSV Erlangen - Neumarkt	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Jahn Regensburg II - Neumarkt	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Neudrossenfeld - Neumarkt	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Ingolstadt II - Neumarkt	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWL
- SpVgg SV Weiden
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
06.04.26	Würzburger FV - Weiden	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Bayern Hof - Weiden	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Weiden - Eintracht Bamberg	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Weiden - Stadeln	6:0 ✺
08.11.25	Weiden - Ingolstadt II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
08.03.25	Neumarkt - Weiden	2:1
17.08.24	Weiden - Neumarkt	2:0
25.03.23	Neumarkt - Weiden	2:0
19.08.22	Weiden - Neumarkt	2:0
01.04.17	Weiden - Neumarkt	0:1
03.09.16	Neumarkt - Weiden	4:0

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