The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 27%
Draw 29.1%
Social Atlético Televisión 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
32.2%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
31.1%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newells Old Boys's form might have worsened.
Social Atlético Televisión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Social Atlético Televisión's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Social Atlético Televisión than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Social Atlético Televisión, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newells Old Boys - Social Atlético Televisión Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6).
Newells Old Boys has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
SAT has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that SAT will win today's game, with odds of 2.33.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).