Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Newells Old Boys 2		San Martín de San Juan 2

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.35	6.10
	1.28	5.64	8.9
	1.27	5.3	8.82	Watch
	1.25	5.55	8.8
	1.32	5.4	8.09
	1.25	5.4	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	5.27 ↑ (4.35)	8.25 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys 2
71.4%

Draw
17.4%

San Martín de San Juan 2
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

20.5%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newells Old Boys 2's performance.

San Martín de San Juan 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newells Old Boys 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan 2 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Newells Old Boys 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 3 - 0, ⚽,
79', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 12).

Recent form of Newells Old Boys 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, San Martín 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Martín 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Newells Old Boys 2 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newells Old Boys 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.09.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Belgrano 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Lanús 2	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- San Martín de San Juan 2
Argentinian Reserve League
09.09.26	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	1:0 ✺
25.08.26	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Ferro 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:5 ✺
12.08.26	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
14.04.26	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:1

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