Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Hamburg - Round 7

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday


	Niendorfer		TuRa Harksheide

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	7
	1.31	6.08	6.38
	1.33	6.07	6.69	Watch
	1.25	5.5	7
	1.4	5.37	5.91
	1.3	5.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	5.67 ↑ (5)	6.66 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niendorfer
70%

Draw
16.2%

TuRa Harksheide
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

17.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niendorfer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Niendorfer's performance.

TuRa Harksheide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niendorfer than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TuRa Harksheide than the current prediction. (+3%)

Niendorfer - TuRa Harksheide Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Meyer L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Bruckner D. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Merkle H. ⚽,
83', 4 - 1, Ali I. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 13).

Recent matches Niendorfer is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

TuRa Harksheide is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

TuRa Harksheide could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Niendorfer is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Niendorfer won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Niendorfer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niendorfer TSV
German Oberliga Hamburg
03.09.24	Niendorfer - Victoria Hamburg	5:2 ✺
01.09.24	HEBC Hamburg - Niendorfer	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Niendorfer - Altona	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Türkiye Wilhelmsburg - Niendorfer	2:2 ✺
11.08.24	Niendorfer - ETSV Hamburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLTL
- TuRa Harksheide
German Oberliga Hamburg
03.09.24	TuRa Harksheide - HEBC Hamburg	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Altona - TuRa Harksheide	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	TuRa Harksheide - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	2:2 ✺
18.08.24	ETSV Hamburg - TuRa Harksheide	7:0 ✺
09.08.24	TuRa Harksheide - Hamburger III	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
16.02.24	TuRa Harksheide - Niendorfer	0:5
10.09.23	Niendorfer - TuRa Harksheide	1:2
20.01.23	TuRa Harksheide - Niendorfer	0:3
23.08.22	Niendorfer - TuRa Harksheide	6:1

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