Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Ninove		Knokke

	1	X	2
	5.3	4.35	1.45
	4.57	4.54	1.56
	4.61	4.53	1.54	Watch
	4.8	4	1.5
	5.12	4.43	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↓ (5.44)	4.37 ↓ (5.07)	1.51 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ninove
18.7%

Draw
20.9%

Knokke
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

17.9%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

17.7%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ninove has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Knokke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Knokke might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ninove than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knokke than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Knokke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ninove - Knokke Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Ouro Sama F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 2, Vergeylen L. ⚽,
63', 0 - 3, Cooman L. ⚽,
80', 0 - 4, Sampers A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2).

Ninove is Relegated to

Ninove is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Knokke is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Knokke is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ninove won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ninove won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Knokke	6	3	1	2	10:8	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVK Ninove
Belgian National Division 1 VV
29.03.26	Diegem Sport - Ninove	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ninove - Houtvenne	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Leuven B - Ninove	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Ninove - Hasselt	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Ninove	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWTL
- Knokke FC
Belgian National Division 1 VV
29.03.26	Knokke - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Dessel Sport - Knokke	4:3 ✺
15.03.26	Knokke - Cercle Brugge 2	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Belisia Bilzen - Knokke	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Knokke - Diegem Sport	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
28.09.25	Knokke - Ninove	2:0
16.02.25	Knokke - Ninove	3:0
04.09.24	Ninove - Knokke	1:0
Belgian National Division 1
12.03.23	Knokke - Ninove	4:1

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