Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)


	Niort		Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.4
	1.7	3.6	4.75
	1.73	3.55	4.3
	1.7	3.79	5.1
	1.65	3.5	4.6
	1.69	3.6	4.88	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.44)	3.56 ↓ (3.98)	4.63 ↓ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
54.3%

Draw
25.8%

Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

21.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niort's form might have worsened.

Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niort, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Niort - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue Predictions

Users Predictions: Niort will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delecroix P. (G) 26. Benchama S. 2. Bernard Q. (C) 14. Durivaux D. 5. Ecuele Manga B. 20. El Kaddouri B. 19. Elphege N. 9. Inchaud M. 18. Mbondo B. 17. Renel S. 24. Tormin T.	1. Herbin A. (G) 20. Abderrahmane H. 4. Bamba A. (C) 8. Benhamza C. 7. Bosca G. 10. Diarra D. 19. Diatta Y. 11. Doucoure D. 6. Quenabio L. 15. Renoud M. 29. Sy M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Niort in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marignane is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Niort is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Niort to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Niort won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 3
23.02.24	Épinal - Niort	0:3 ✺
16.02.24	Cholet - Niort	1:1 ✺
12.02.24	Niort - Nancy	2:1 ✺
02.02.24	Villefranche - Niort	0:4 ✺
26.01.24	Niort - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWT
- Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue
French Ligue 3
23.02.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Cholet	3:2 ✺
16.02.24	Nancy - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	4:1 ✺
09.02.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
02.02.24	Châteauroux - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	3:0 ✺
19.01.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Avranches	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
22.09.23	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Niort	1:2

Niort - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide