Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 7

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Niroye Zamini		Shenavarsazi Qeshm

	1	X	2
	3.54	2.88	2.19	Watch
	3.52	2.75	2.16	Watch
	3.45	2.85	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.92)	2.83 ↑ (2.78)	2.16 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niroye Zamini
25.9%

Draw
32.1%

Shenavarsazi Qeshm
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

32.4%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

32.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niroye Zamini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Shenavarsazi Qeshm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenavarsazi Qeshm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niroye Zamini than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenavarsazi Qeshm than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenavarsazi Qeshm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Niroye Zamini - Shenavarsazi Qeshm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Khani R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Sokhtanloo A. ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 4th).

Niroye Zamini is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Shenavarsazi Qeshm shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Shenavarsazi Qeshm holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Niroye Zamini has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Niroye Zamini against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	7	4	3	0	7:3	4	15
15	Niroye Zamini	7	1	1	5	4:10	-6	4

Last Results with these Odds

Niroye Zamini - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 30.84%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niroye Zamini
Iran Division 1
20.10.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Niroye Zamini	4:1 ✺
12.10.26	Kara Gostar Shabestar - Niroye Zamini	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Niroye Zamini - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
28.09.26	SaiPa - Niroye Zamini	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Niroye Zamini - Fard Alborz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Iran Division 1
20.10.26	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Mes Kerman	1:0 ✺
12.10.26	SaiPa - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Kara Gostar Shabestar	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Fard Alborz - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
21.05.26	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Niroye Zamini	0:0
12.10.25	Niroye Zamini - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	1:0

Niroye Zamini - Shenavarsazi Qeshm