Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Nissa		Sancataldese

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.65	5.15
	1.69	3.29	4.74
	1.80	3.59	3.85	Watch
	1.78	3.25	4.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.94)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	4.68 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nissa
53.8%

Draw
26.6%

Sancataldese
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

25.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

24.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nissa's performance.

Sancataldese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sancataldese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nissa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sancataldese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nissa - Sancataldese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nissa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Terranova P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Nissa is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nissa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Nissa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nissa FC
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.11.25	Nissa - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Nissa	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Nissa - Savoia	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Vigor Lamezia - Nissa	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Nissa - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWT
- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
09.11.25	Sancataldese - Castrumfavara	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sambiase - Sancataldese	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Sancataldese - Reggina	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Enna - Sancataldese	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Sancataldese - Paternò	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
23.02.25	Sancataldese - Nissa	1:1
23.10.24	Nissa - Sancataldese	3:3

Nissa - Sancataldese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide