Match Info

ZAMBIA: Super League - Round 8

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday


	Nkana		Nchanga Rangers

	1	X	2
	2	2.87	3.6
	2.03	2.95	3.7
	1.99	2.92	4.11
	2.01	2.95	3.8
	2.03	2.95	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.6)	3.78 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nkana
45.1%

Draw
31%

Nchanga Rangers
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

34.7%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

33.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nkana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nkana's performance.

Nchanga Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nkana than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nkana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nchanga Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	88.9%	0%

Nkana - Nchanga Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nkana will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nkana FC
Zambian Premier League
05.10.24	Green Eagles - Nkana	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Atletico Lusaka - Nkana	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Nkana - Nkwazi	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	NAPSA Stars - Nkana	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Nkana - ZESCO United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWL
- Nchanga Rangers
Zambian Premier League
05.10.24	Nchanga Rangers - Nkwazi	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	NAPSA Stars - Nchanga Rangers	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Nchanga Rangers - ZESCO United	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Mutondo Stars - Nchanga Rangers	1:1 ✺
28.08.24	Nchanga Rangers - Lumwana Radiants	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Zambian Premier League
12.02.23	Nkana - Nchanga Rangers	3:1
01.10.22	Nchanga Rangers - Nkana	1:1

Nkana - Nchanga Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide