Match Info

First League - Round 29

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Noah 2		Shirak Gyumri 2

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 (1.65)	4.25 (4.25)	3.65 (3.65)

The best margin for this event is 11.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noah 2
54.3%

Draw
21.1%

Shirak Gyumri 2
24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

18.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Noah 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Shirak Gyumri 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah 2 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noah 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shirak Gyumri 2 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).

Recent performances by Noah 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shirak 2 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Noah 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Noah 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Noah 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Noah 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Shirak Gyumri 2	6	2	1	3	5:11	-6	7
12	Noah 2	8	1	3	4	8:20	-12	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noah 2
Armenian First League
15.05.26	Andranik - Noah 2	0:0 ✺
05.05.26	Noah 2 - Van 2	1:0 ✺
28.04.26	Bentonit Ijevan - Noah 2	3:1 ✺
22.04.26	Noah 2 - Syunik	2:4 ✺
24.03.26	Noah 2 - Araks Ararat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLLT
- Shirak Gyumri 2
Armenian First League
30.04.26	Shirak Gyumri 2 - Ararat 2	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Shirak Gyumri 2 - Bentonit Ijevan	0:0 ✺
14.04.26	Syunik - Shirak Gyumri 2	9:1 ✺
08.04.26	Shirak Gyumri 2 - Andranik	0:4 ✺
24.03.26	Shirak Gyumri 2 - Hayq	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian First League
19.05.25	Noah 2 - Shirak Gyumri 2	0:2
10.11.24	Shirak Gyumri 2 - Noah 2	1:5
04.03.24	Shirak Gyumri 2 - Noah 2	0:2

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