Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 33

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Nocerina		Bitonto

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.59	3.71	4.74
	1.6	4.05	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.19)	3.75 ↑ (3.21)	4.68 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nocerina
56.5%

Draw
24.1%

Bitonto
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.8%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

28.9%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nocerina's performance.

Bitonto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bitonto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nocerina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bitonto than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bitonto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Nocerina - Bitonto Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nocerina will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bitonto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nocerina: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 10).

Nocerina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bitonto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nocerina is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nocerina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nocerina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.04.23	Molfetta - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Nocerina - Gladiator	2:2 ✺
06.04.23	Città di Fasano - Nocerina	2:3 ✺
02.04.23	Nocerina - Nardo	1:3 ✺
19.03.23	Matera - Nocerina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWLL
- US Bitonto
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.04.23	Bitonto - Gravina	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Martina Calcio - Bitonto	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Bitonto - Lavello	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Francavilla - Bitonto	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Gladiator - Bitonto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
17.12.22	Bitonto - Nocerina	1:0
22.05.22	Bitonto - Nocerina	1:2
23.01.22	Nocerina - Bitonto	0:3
02.02.20	Bitonto - Nocerina	4:0

Nocerina - Bitonto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide