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Current Win Probability
Nocerina 63.8%
Draw 22.5%
Cassino 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
24.8%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
24%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nocerina's performance.
Cassino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cassino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nocerina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cassino than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cassino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nocerina - Cassino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Kernezo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Nocerina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cassino has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Cassino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nocerina is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).