Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 7

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Nocerina		Gravina

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.46	4.02	6.52
	1.45	3.9	6.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	3.94 ↑ (3.92)	6.27 ↓ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nocerina
62.4%

Draw
23.1%

Gravina
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.2%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

21.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nocerina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Nocerina - Gravina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Marquez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Algueche I. 🟥,
61', 2 - 0, D'Agostino S. (Pen),
70', 2 - 1, Chacon S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.10.24	Manfredonia - Nocerina	0:3 ✺
06.10.24	Nocerina - Fidelis Andria	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Nardo - Nocerina	1:3 ✺
22.09.24	Nocerina - Francavilla	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Costa D`Amalfi - Nocerina	0:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTW
- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.10.24	Gravina - Virtus Francavilla	0:1 ✺
07.10.24	Matera - Gravina	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Gravina - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Città di Fasano - Gravina	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Gravina - Palmese 1914	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
08.01.23	Nocerina - Gravina	2:1
04.09.22	Gravina - Nocerina	1:1
16.02.22	Gravina - Nocerina	0:2
10.10.21	Nocerina - Gravina	2:1
Italian Serie D - Play Offs
14.05.17	Nocerina - Gravina	4:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
26.03.17	Nocerina - Gravina	1:1
13.11.16	Gravina - Nocerina	2:2

Nocerina - Gravina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide