Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Right to Dream Park (Farum) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frid I. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport
Denmark	18:30	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	17:30	Canal 11
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport


	Nordsjælland		Partizan

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6	Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.5
	1.52	4.1	6.1
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.51	4.24	6.6
	1.48	4.4	6.35
	1.5	4.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.81)	4.23 ↑ (3.48)	6.14 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordsjælland
62.4%

Draw
22.3%

Partizan
15.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

25.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordsjælland's performance.

Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Partizan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordsjælland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Partizan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.5%	0%	2.5%

Nordsjælland - Partizan Predictions

Users Predictions: Nordsjælland will win (39 of 40 users predict this - 97.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.66% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hansen A. (G) 23. Villadsen O. 4. Hansen K. (C) 39. Nagalo A. 5. Frese M. 10. Diomande M. 6. Tverskov J. 27. Svensson D. 9. Nygren B. 7. Ingvartsen M. 14. Osman I.	1. Jovanovic A. (G) 2. Stojkovic A. 6. Markovic S. (C) 3. Ilic M. 5. Antic N. 19. Scekic A. 10. Natcho B. 8. Kanoute F. 7. Severina X. 11. Saldanha 9. Menig Q.
Substitutes
22. Antman O. 36. Ascone R. 42. Barslund K. 28. Coulibaly L. 29. Dorgeles M. 25. Eriksson C. (G) 11. Hansen M. 19. Hey L. 24. Hogsberg L. 15. Marxen E. 40. Schandorf C. H. W. 21. Sertdemir Z.	14. Bazdar S. 26. Filipovic A. 15. Kalulu A. 23. Nikolic N. 55. Pantic D. 20. Pavlovic A. 90. Petkovic M. 4. Sanicanin S. 12. Sehovic Z. 85. Stevanovic N. (G) 45. Stjepanovic M. 43. Trifunovic N.
Coaches
Thorup J.	Duljaj I.

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Partizan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nordsjælland is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nordsjælland won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Nordsjælland won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
20.08.23	Silkeborg IF - Nordsjælland	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Nordsjælland - FCSB	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
13.08.23	Randers FC - Nordsjælland	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	FCSB - Nordsjælland	0:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
06.08.23	Nordsjælland - Brøndby	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWTW
- FK Partizan
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Partizan - Sabah	3:0 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
13.08.23	Partizan - Radnički Niš	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Sabah - Partizan	2:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
06.08.23	Vojvodina - Partizan	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Bačka Topola - Partizan	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
16.08.18	Partizan - Nordsjælland	3:2
09.08.18	Nordsjælland - Partizan	1:2

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