Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 2 - NORRA GÖTALAND - ROUND 21

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Nordvärmland		FBK Karlstad

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.55
	4.32	4.37	1.53
	4.9	4.3	1.54
	4.75	4.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (2.65)	4.27 ↑ (3.8)	1.54 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordvärmland
19.5%

Draw
21.4%

FBK Karlstad
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

23.2%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

22.5%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordvärmland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nordvärmland's form might have worsened.

FBK Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBK Karlstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordvärmland than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nordvärmland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBK Karlstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norra GÃ¶taland (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Nordvärmland is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

FBK Karlstad in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match FBK Karlstad is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nordvärmland won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nordvärmland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordvärmlands FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
09.09.23	Nordvärmland - Gauthiod	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Lidkoping - Nordvärmland	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Stenungsunds - Nordvärmland	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Nordvärmland - Forward	1:4 ✺
12.08.23	Yxhults - Nordvärmland	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWLL
- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
08.09.23	Säffle - FBK Karlstad	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	FBK Karlstad - Grebbestad	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	FBK Karlstad - Zenith	2:1 ✺
18.08.23	IFK Skövde - FBK Karlstad	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	FBK Karlstad - Torslanda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
20.05.23	FBK Karlstad - Nordvärmland	2:0
13.10.18	Nordvärmland - FBK Karlstad	7:3
20.06.18	FBK Karlstad - Nordvärmland	0:0
12.08.17	FBK Karlstad - Nordvärmland	3:1
01.05.17	Nordvärmland - FBK Karlstad	0:2

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