Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 2 - NORRA GÖTALAND - ROUND 9

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	Nordvärmland		Herrestads

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.6	1.98
	2.8	3.96	2.1
	2.93	3.72	2.1
	2.9	3.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (5.15)	3.76 ↓ (4.5)	2.07 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordvärmland
31.6%

Draw
24.3%

Herrestads
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

20.1%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

18.3%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordvärmland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordvärmland's performance.

Herrestads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Herrestads might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordvärmland than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordvärmland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrestads than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Herrestads could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Nordvärmland has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Herrestads is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Herrestads could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Herrestads will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nordvärmland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Nordvärmland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordvärmlands FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
20.05.23	FBK Karlstad - Nordvärmland	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Nordvärmland - Lidkoping	1:3 ✺
07.05.23	Gauthiod - Nordvärmland	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Nordvärmland - Stenungsunds	1:3 ✺
23.04.23	Forward - Nordvärmland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL
- Herrestads AIF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.05.23	Herrestads - Grebbestad	1:0 ✺
12.05.23	Säffle - Herrestads	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Herrestads - Zenith	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	IFK Skövde - Herrestads	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Herrestads - Torslanda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
16.10.22	Herrestads - Nordvärmland	5:2
05.06.22	Nordvärmland - Herrestads	3:1

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