Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Date: 14 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Noroeste		Santo André

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	3	2.9	2.3
	2.64	2.74	2.43
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.78	3.06	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.4)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	2.35 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noroeste
31.9%

Draw
30%

Santo André
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Noroeste's form might have worsened.

Santo André has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Noroeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Noroeste - Santo André Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santo André will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Noroeste has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santo André is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santo André will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Noroeste won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Santo André - Noroeste	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Noroeste - Resende	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	Democrata GV - Noroeste	2:2 ✺
27.05.23	Athletic Club - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Noroeste - Vitória ES	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL
- Santo André
Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Santo André - Noroeste	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Athletic Club - Santo André	4:2 ✺
03.06.23	Portuguesa RJ - Santo André	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Santo André - Resende	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Nova Iguaçu - Santo André	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Santo André - Noroeste	2:0

Noroeste - Santo André