Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 7

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	North Geelong Warriors		Eltham Redbacks

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.7	2.18
	2.65	3.83	2.24
	2.64	3.88	2.22	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.2
	2.71	3.82	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.6)	3.73 ↑ (3.65)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Geelong Warriors
34.5%

Draw
24.4%

Eltham Redbacks
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

24.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

24%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Eltham Redbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eltham Redbacks than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

North Geelong Warriors - Eltham Redbacks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
78', 3 - 1, ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

North Geelong has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eltham Redbacks is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

North Geelong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Geelong Warriors
Australian Victoria Premier League
21.03.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - North Geelong Warriors	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	North Geelong Warriors - Manningham United	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Northcote City - North Geelong Warriors	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Srbija	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	North Sunshine Eagles - North Geelong Warriors	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLWW
- Eltham Redbacks
Australian Victoria Premier League
20.03.26	Eltham Redbacks - Langwarrin	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Western United U21 - Eltham Redbacks	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Eltham Redbacks - Brunswick City	2:2 ✺
02.03.26	Bulleen Lions - Eltham Redbacks	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Eltham Redbacks - Brunswick Juventus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWW

North Geelong Warriors - Eltham Redbacks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide