Match Info
Victoria Premier League - Round 19Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday
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North Geelong Warriors |
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Port Melbourne Sharks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.34 |
5.00 |
6.25 |
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 |
1.27 |
5.35 |
7.3 |
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 |
1.23 |
6.72 |
7.39 |
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1.33 |
5.89 |
6.02 |
 Watch |
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1.21 |
6.65 |
7.3 |
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1.2 |
6.3 |
9.35 |
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1.28 |
5.4 |
7.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.35) |
5.9 ↑
(4.8) |
7.29 ↑
(5.8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
North Geelong Warriors
72% | Draw
15.5% | Port Melbourne Sharks
12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Geelong Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Geelong Warriors's performance.Port Melbourne Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (+2.1%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Geelong won 1.Recent performances by North Geelong have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Port Melbourne has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Port Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, North Geelong is the undeniable favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, North Geelong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1:2.3).Including home matches between the teams, North Geelong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | North Geelong | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 28 |
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| 14 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12:51 | -39 | 13 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Victoria Premier League | | | 21.03.26 | Port Melbourne Sharks - North Geelong Warriors | 0:2 | | Australian NPL Victoria | | | 27.05.23 | Port Melbourne Sharks - North Geelong Warriors | 4:0 | | 25.02.23 | North Geelong Warriors - Port Melbourne Sharks | 0:2 | | 17.06.17 | Port Melbourne Sharks - North Geelong Warriors | 2:1 | | 10.03.17 | North Geelong Warriors - Port Melbourne Sharks | 1:3 | | 31.07.15 | Port Melbourne Sharks - North Geelong Warriors | 3:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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