Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 9

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 5
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	SINDOnews TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Pakistan	Tapmad
Qatar	Shoof
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	SBS Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Vietnam	K+ Action, K+, TV 360, VieON
World	Onefootball


	North Korea		Kyrgyzstan

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.7
	2.68	3.05	2.62
	2.81	3.2	2.74
	2.72	3.11	2.66	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.74	3.1	2.72	Watch
	2.68	3.05	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.22)	3.1 ↓ (3.45)	2.67 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Korea
34.6%

Draw
30.3%

Kyrgyzstan
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Korea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Korea's form might have worsened.

Kyrgyzstan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44%	24%	32%

North Korea - Kyrgyzstan Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. North Korea will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Kyrgyzstan will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for North Korea: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Kyrgyzstan (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): North Korea will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. North Korea (votes: 3 - 60%). Kyrgyzstan (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kang Ju-Hyok (G) Hwaebul 2. Kim Jin-Hyuk Sonbong 3. Jang Kuk-Chol (C) Hwaebul 16. Kim Yu-Song 19. Kim Sung-Hye Sonbong 20. Paek Chung-Song Ryomyong 17. Kang Kuk-Chol Rimyongsu 15. Ra M. 10. Ri Il-song Ryomyong 9. Ri Jo-Guk Ryomyong 11. Pak Kwang-Hun Rimyongsu	1. Tokotaev E. (G) Sanliurfaspor 14. Mishchenko A. Dordoi Bishkek 6. Brauzman K. Abdish-Ata Kant 2. Kichin V. (C) Bars 3. Kozubayev T. Persita 19. Kenzhebaev E. Bars 23. Atabayev E. Abdish-Ata Kant 8. Zarypbekov E. FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 12. Abdurakhmanov O. Binh Duong 18. Zhyrgalbek K. Bars 7. Kojo J. Esteghlal TEH
Substitutes
13. Choe Kuk 12. Choe Ryong II 7. Han Chung-Guk 18. Hong Kil-ryong (G) 5. Jong Kum-Song Rimyongsu 4. Kum-Chol R. 6. Kye Tam Ryomyong 14. Ri Kwang-Myong 8. Sin K. N. 21. Yu Kwang-Jun (G) Ryomyong	9. Almazbekov B. Rukh Lviv 20. Alygulov M. Muras United 10. Alykulov G. Torpedo Moscow 5. Bekberdinov A. Abdish-Ata Kant 22. Borubaev G. FC Minsk 21. Merk K. Dudelange 11. Merk K. Dordoi Bishkek 16. Nurlanbekov K. (G) Ilbirs 13. Pryadkin A. (G) Bishkek City 17. Sulaymanov U. Ozgon 15. Uzdenov M. Bars 4. Zhumataev A.
Coaches
Sin Y.	Lisitsyn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Zhyrgalbek K. 🟨,
26', Kang Kuk-Chol ↓, Kye Tam ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Pak Kwang-Hun ⚽, Kim Jin-Hyuk (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kozubayev T. ↓, Alykulov G. ↑,
46', Zhyrgalbek K. ↓, Almazbekov B. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Ri Jo-Guk ⚽, Kye Tam (A),
57', 2 - 1, Alykulov G. ⚽, Almazbekov B. (A),
71', Kim Jin-Hyuk ↓, Choe Ryong II ↑,
77', Pak Kwang-Hun ↓, Jong Kum-Song ↑,
79', Ri Il-song 🟨,
81', Ri Jo-Guk 🟨,
81', Mishchenko A. ↓, Merk K. ↑,
83', Abdurakhmanov O. ↓, Merk K. ↑,
85', Kenzhebaev E. ↓, Uzdenov M. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 2, Kim Sung-Hye (Own goal),

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Korea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Korea
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	North Korea - United Arab Emirates	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Qatar - North Korea	5:1 ✺
19.11.24	North Korea - Uzbekistan	0:1 ✺
14.11.24	North Korea - Iran	2:3 ✺
15.10.24	Kyrgyzstan - North Korea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kyrgyzstan
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Kyrgyzstan - Qatar	3:1 ✺
20.03.25	Uzbekistan - Kyrgyzstan	1:0 ✺
19.11.24	Kyrgyzstan - Iran	2:3 ✺
14.11.24	United Arab Emirates - Kyrgyzstan	3:0 ✺
15.10.24	Kyrgyzstan - North Korea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
15.10.24	Kyrgyzstan - North Korea	1:0

North Korea - Kyrgyzstan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide