Match Info

ASIA: OLYMPIC GAMES WOMEN - QUALIFICATION - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	North Korea W		South Korea W

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	3.8
	1.85	3.5	3.41
	1.81	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.21)	3.75 ↑ (3.3)	3.67 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Korea W
51.3%

Draw
24.1%

South Korea W
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

25.7%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Korea W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Korea W's performance.

South Korea W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Korea W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Korea W than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Korea W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Korea W than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Korea W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

North Korea will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches North Korea won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Korea W
Olympic Games - Football Women
26.10.23	China W - North Korea W	1:2 ✺
Asian Games Football Women
06.10.23	Japan W - North Korea W	4:1 ✺
03.10.23	Uzbekistan W - North Korea W	0:8 ✺
30.09.23	South Korea W - North Korea W	1:4 ✺
27.09.23	Singapore W - North Korea W	0:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- South Korea W
Olympic Games - Football Women
26.10.23	South Korea W - Thailand W	10:1 ✺
Asian Games Football Women
30.09.23	South Korea W - North Korea W	1:4 ✺
28.09.23	South Korea W - Hong Kong W	5:0 ✺
25.09.23	Philippines W - South Korea W	1:5 ✺
22.09.23	South Korea W - Myanmar W	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Asian Games Football Women
30.09.23	South Korea W - North Korea W	1:4
EAFF E-1 Women
11.12.17	North Korea W - South Korea W	1:0
Asian Cup Women
07.04.17	South Korea W - North Korea W	1:1
Olympic Games - Football Women
29.02.16	North Korea W - South Korea W	1:1
EAFF E-1 Women
08.08.15	South Korea W - North Korea W	0:2

North Korea W - South Korea W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide