Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 20

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: John Cain Memorial Park (Melbourne)


	Northcote City		Melbourne Knights

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	2.55
	2.28	3.45	2.62
	2.35	3.61	2.69
	2.26	3.68	2.69	Watch
	2.2	3.55	2.65
	2.26	3.42	2.73
	2.31	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	2.65 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northcote City
39.9%

Draw
25.9%

Melbourne Knights
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northcote City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Melbourne Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Northcote City - Melbourne Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northcote City won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Northcote City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Northcote City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
03.07.26	Northcote City - Melbourne Srbija	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	North Sunshine Eagles - Northcote City	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	North Geelong Warriors - Northcote City	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Northcote City - Langwarrin	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Western United U21 - Northcote City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW
- Melbourne Knights
Australian Victoria Premier League
03.07.26	Melbourne Knights - Bulleen Lions	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Melbourne Srbija - Melbourne Knights	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Melbourne Knights - Brunswick Juventus	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne Knights	1:1 ✺
01.06.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Knights	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
27.03.26	Melbourne Knights - Northcote City	3:0
Australian NPL Victoria
15.06.18	Melbourne Knights - Northcote City	4:1
12.03.18	Northcote City - Melbourne Knights	1:1
11.06.16	Northcote City - Melbourne Knights	5:0
04.03.16	Melbourne Knights - Northcote City	2:1
30.05.15	Northcote City - Melbourne Knights	1:2

Northcote City - Melbourne Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide