Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League B - Round 4

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	05:45	beIN Connect
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	15:45	Disney+
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+
France	20:45	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	22:45	1TV
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports Premier League
Iceland	18:45	Viaplay
India	00:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kenya	21:45	Gotv
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
Nigeria	19:45	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	23:45	Tapmad
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	21:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
United Kingdom	19:45	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, BBC Three
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+


	Northern Ireland		Georgia

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	3.1
	2.40	2.90	3.25
	2.45	2.92	3.25
	2.52	3	3.43
	2.5	2.95	3.25	Watch
	2.45	2.95	3.25
	2.54	2.93	3.15	Watch
	2.49	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.4)	2.93 ↓ (3.4)	3.22 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Northern Ireland
38.2%

Draw
32.4%

Georgia
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.7%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Ireland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Georgia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Georgia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.8%	29.4%	8.8%

Northern Ireland - Georgia Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Northern Ireland will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). Georgia will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northern Ireland: 45.5% – 78.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Northern Ireland (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Northern Ireland (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Northern Ireland (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Charles P. (G) QPR 4. Atcheson T. Blackburn 15. McConville R. Norwich 22. Brown C. Oxford Utd 5. Hume T. Sunderland 19. Charles S. (C) Fulham 7. Galbraith E. Stoke City 3. Devenny J. Stoke City 16. Kelly P. Barnsley 14. Price I. West Brom 10. Donley J. Luton	1. Mamardashvili G. (G) Liverpool 2. Kakabadze O. Cracovia 20. Sazonov S. Getafe 3. Dvali L. CSKA 1948 Sofia 4. Lochoshvili L. 1. FC Koln 6. Kochorashvili G. Sevilla 14. Mekvabishvili A. Chicago Fire 15. Mamageishvili G. Sturm Graz 9. Davitashvili Z. St Etienne 7. Kvaratskhelia K. (C) PSG 11. Zivzivadze B. Heidenheim
Substitutes
2. Devlin T. Portsmouth 12. Hazard C. (G) Wycombe 21. Magennis J. Stevenage 8. Marshall C. Luton 17. McNair P. Hull City 13. Morrison K. Sheffield Wed 9. O'Neill C. 23. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) Blackpool 11. Smyth P. QPR 20. Spencer B. Oxford Utd 6. Thompson J. Preston 18. Toal E. Bolton	10. Chakvetadze G. Udinese 21. Gagua G. Dun. Streda 5. Goglichidze S. Monza 23. Gugeshashvili L. (G) Goztepe 13. Kereselidze D. (G) Dila Gori 16. Kharebashvili S. Basaksehir 17. Kvernadze G. Frosinone 12. Lobjanidze S. Real Salt Lake 8. Lominadze N. Torpedo Kutaisi 22. Mikautadze G. Villarreal 19. Tsitaishvili G. Rayo Vallecano 18. Yegoian I. Excelsior
Coaches
O'Neill Mi.	Svanadze R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Kochorashvili G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kochorashvili G. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
65', Galbraith E. ↓, Spencer B. ↑,
65', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
65', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
74', Mamageishvili G. ↓, Yegoian I. ↑,
74', Donley J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
74', Kelly P. ↓, Morrison K. ↑,
84', Price I. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Lominadze N. 🟨,
86', Yegoian I. 🟨,
86', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
87', Atcheson T. ↓, McNair P. ↑,
87', Price I. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
89', Tsitaishvili G. 🟨,

Preview

Northern Ireland is ranked FIFA: 70., and Georgia is ranked FIFA: 72..

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Northern Ireland has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Ireland
UEFA Nations League
02.10.26	Ukraine - Northern Ireland	0:3 ✺
28.09.26	Northern Ireland - Hungary	0:0 ✺
25.09.26	Georgia - Northern Ireland	0:1 ✺
Friendly
08.06.26	France - Northern Ireland	3:1 ✺
04.06.26	Northern Ireland - Guinea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWLW
- Georgia
UEFA Nations League
02.10.26	Hungary - Georgia	1:0 ✺
28.09.26	Georgia - Ukraine	0:0 ✺
25.09.26	Georgia - Northern Ireland	0:1 ✺
Friendly
05.06.26	Georgia - Bahrain	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Georgia - Romania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
25.09.26	Georgia - Northern Ireland	0:1

Northern Ireland - Georgia