Match Info

NSW League One - Round 7

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Northern Tigers		Hills United

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.5
	1.62	4.05	4.05
	1.54	4	4
	1.62	4.17	4.25
	1.62	3.7	4.33
	1.59	4.05	4.46
	1.61	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)	4.01 ↓ (4.1)	4.23 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Tigers
56.4%

Draw
22.4%

Hills United
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

22.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

20.6%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Hills United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Tigers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hills United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Northern Tigers - Hills United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW and 5).

Northern Tigers is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hills United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Northern Tigers is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Northern Tigers will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Northern Tigers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Northern Tigers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Tigers FC
Australian NSW League One
14.03.26	Dulwich Hill - Northern Tigers	0:5 ✺
07.03.26	Northern Tigers - Hakoah Sydney City East	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Inter Lions - Northern Tigers	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Northern Tigers - Bankstown City Lions	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Northern Tigers - Prospect United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Hills United
Australian NSW League One
14.03.26	Hills United - Hurstville Zagreb	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Prospect United - Hills United	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Hills United - Macarthur Rams	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Bulls Academy - Hills United	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Hills United - Dulwich Hill	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
07.06.25	Hills United - Northern Tigers	2:0
22.02.25	Northern Tigers - Hills United	3:0

Northern Tigers - Hills United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide