Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 14

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Nosaby		IFK Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.40	1.85
	3.60	3.70	1.70
	3.30	3.70	1.90
	3.49	3.9	1.84	Watch
	3.10	3.65	1.88
	3.62	3.73	1.86
	2.56	3.65	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.55)	3.68 ↑ (3.58)	1.9 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosaby
27.4%

Draw
24.7%

IFK Trelleborg
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

25%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

24.9%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosaby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nosaby's form might have worsened.

IFK Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IFK Trelleborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nosaby than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nosaby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IFK Trelleborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - IFK Trelleborg (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. IFK Trelleborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 3, ⚽,
73', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nosaby won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nosaby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nosaby won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nosaby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	IFK Trelleborg	24	15	5	4	51:23	28	50
5	Nosaby	24	11	6	7	45:39	6	39

Last Results with these Odds

Nosaby - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.04%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosaby IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
14.08.26	Sölvesborg - Nosaby	1:2 ✺
30.07.26	Karlskrona - Nosaby	5:1 ✺
17.06.26	Nosaby - Lilla Torg	3:3 ✺
12.06.26	Österlen - Nosaby	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Nosaby - Karlskrona	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTLW
- IFK Trelleborg
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
15.08.26	Karlshamn - IFK Trelleborg	1:5 ✺
02.08.26	Berga - IFK Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
17.06.26	IFK Trelleborg - Berga	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Växjö Norra - IFK Trelleborg	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Räppe GoIF - IFK Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
12.04.26	IFK Trelleborg - Nosaby	1:1
17.08.25	IFK Trelleborg - Nosaby	3:1
02.05.25	Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg	1:2
24.08.24	IFK Trelleborg - Nosaby	3:4
28.04.24	Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg	3:0
14.10.23	Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg	3:1
18.06.23	IFK Trelleborg - Nosaby	0:0

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