Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 21

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	Nosaby		Simrishamn

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.1
	1.9	3.6	3.5
	1.85	3.44	3.46
	1.85	3.68	3.51
	1.9	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.23)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	3.41 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosaby
48.2%

Draw
25.3%

Simrishamn
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

25.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

22.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosaby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nosaby's performance.

Simrishamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Simrishamn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosaby than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simrishamn than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simrishamn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nosaby - Simrishamn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Nosaby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Simrishamn has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nosaby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Nosaby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosaby IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
09.09.24	Balkan - Nosaby	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Nosaby - Räppe GoIF	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	IFK Trelleborg - Nosaby	3:4 ✺
17.08.24	Lödde - Nosaby	2:1 ✺
09.08.24	Nosaby - Karlskrona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WLWLT
- IFK Simrishamn
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
07.09.24	Simrishamn - Lödde	1:4 ✺
01.09.24	Karlskrona - Simrishamn	4:2 ✺
25.08.24	Simrishamn - Hässleholm	0:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.08.24	Simrishamn - Varbergs BoIS	1:3 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
17.08.24	Österlen - Simrishamn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
18.05.24	Simrishamn - Nosaby	0:1
11.08.23	Nosaby - Simrishamn	2:0
15.04.23	Simrishamn - Nosaby	3:0

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