Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday


	Nosta Novotroitsk		Krylya Sovetov 2

	1	X	2
	7	5.07	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7 ↓ (9.35)	5.07 ↑ (4.5)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosta Novotroitsk
13.2%

Draw
18.2%

Krylya Sovetov 2
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.8%

20.3%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.4%

19.5%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosta Novotroitsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Krylya Sovetov 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov 2 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Nosta Novotroitsk - Krylya Sovetov 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Malikov Pavlovich D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Vainer A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nosta won 1.

Nosta is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Krylya Sovetov 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Krylya Sovetov 2 is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nosta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nosta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Krylya Sovetov Samara 2	28	8	9	11	31:33	-2	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosta Novotroitsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
21.06.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Dynamo Barnaul	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	5:0 ✺
07.06.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Ural 2	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL
- Krylya Sovetov 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
21.06.26	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Dynamo Barnaul - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Akron Tolyatti 2	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Krylya Sovetov 2 - KDV Tomsk	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
26.04.26	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	4:2
03.08.25	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	3:2
26.04.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:2
10.08.24	Nosta Novotroitsk - Krylya Sovetov 2	0:2
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
09.04.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Krylya Sovetov 2	2:0
13.10.20	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:2
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
04.11.17	Nosta Novotroitsk - Krylya Sovetov 2	5:0

Nosta Novotroitsk - Krylya Sovetov 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide