Match Info

SML - Round 14

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Notch		Flora

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.57	4.47	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.53
	1.66	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	4.44 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notch
54.1%

Draw
25.4%

Flora
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Flora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notch than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Notch - Flora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SML (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ SML (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Notch has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flora is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Flora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Notch has had a series of home games.

In this match, Notch is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Notch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Notch
Suriname Major League
17.01.26	Notch - Robinhood	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Notch - Voorwaarts	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Inter Moengotapoe - Notch	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Notch - Inter Wanica	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Notch - Broki	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLLWW
- Flora Paramaribo
Suriname Major League
04.01.26	Flora - Robinhood	0:3 ✺
27.12.25	Voorwaarts - Flora	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Inter Moengotapoe - Flora	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Flora - Broki	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Flora - Transvaal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Suriname Major League
23.11.25	Flora - Notch	2:2
02.03.25	Flora - Notch	1:3

Notch - Flora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide