Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden)


	Notodden		Hødd

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.6	1.98
	3.1	3.75	2
	2.91	3.66	2.2
	3.04	3.7	2.12
	3	3.7	1.91
	2.88	4.08	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.7	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.89)	3.74 ↓ (3.88)	2.03 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
30.4%

Draw
24.5%

Hødd
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notodden's performance.

Hødd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hødd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notodden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hødd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Notodden - Hødd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Midtlyng T. (G) 9. Frithzell M. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 17. Holthe J. 5. Jabari S. R. M. 2. Jacobsen N. 8. Jorgensen S. 18. Kyvik L. 6. Larsen S. 16. Ryste A. 10. Skjold A.	1. Alme O. (G) 4. Blikstad E. 22. Brandal D. 23. Gjerde F. 11. Haheim-Elveseter M. 7. Hjelmeseth R. 17. Johansen T. 8. Kallevag T. (C) 5. Mulac M. 2. Murray T. 6. Urnes H.
Substitutes
12. Bergesen J. (G) 37. Bratvold S. 15. Haug H. 20. Sissoko D. 19. Svarstad S. 24. Telle T. 3. Ullenes P. 7. Ulsnes J.	29. Aske O. 14. Bjordal O. 16. Hagen I. 25. Rod S. (G) 15. Steinset K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Gjerde F. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Blikstad E. ⚽,
36', 0 - 3, Hjelmeseth R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Frithzell M. ↓, Bratvold S. ↑,
59', Gjerde F. ↓, Hagen I. ↑,
60', Brandal D. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
65', Jacobsen N. ↓, Ullenes P. ↑,
65', Holthe J. ↓, Haug H. ↑,
68', Jabari S. R. M. 🟨,
70', 0 - 4, Hjelmeseth R. ⚽,
74', Kallevag T. ↓, Aske O. ↑,
74', Ryste A. ↓, Sissoko D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3).

Notodden is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hødd is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Hødd is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Notodden won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Notodden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.06.24	Viking 2 - Notodden	2:3 ✺
01.06.24	Arendal - Notodden	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	2:2 ✺
20.05.24	Kvik Halden - Notodden	2:3 ✺
11.05.24	Notodden - Flekkerøy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WWTWL
- IL Hødd
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.06.24	Hødd - Arendal	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Lysekloster - Hødd	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Hødd - Kvik Halden	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Brattvåg - Hødd	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Hødd - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
17.09.17	Hødd - Notodden	2:2
04.06.17	Notodden - Hødd	3:0

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