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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest U21 22.9%
Draw 23%
Aston Villa U21 54.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
24.4%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
23.8%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest U21's form might have worsened.
Aston Villa U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest U21 than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (-18.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nottingham Forest U21 - Aston Villa U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Willows K. (G) 2. Thompson J. (C) 4. Abbott Z. 5. Hanks J. 7. Sinclair J. 6. Hammond B. 8. Nwosu C. 3. Newton J. 11. Thompson K. 10. Whitehall A. 9. Sillah L.
1. Hollingshead R. (G) 2. McWilliams A. 4. Carroll T. 5. Routh L. 3. Fortes R. 8. Jimoh-Aloba J. 6. Borland A. (C) 7. Mulley T. 10. Brannigan C. 11. Broggio B. 14. Wilson R.
Substitutes
15. Berry A. 12. Campbell L. (G) 16. McClure B. 17. Modupe D. 14. Smith F.
. Asemota O. (G) . Cotcher M. . Kone M. . Lynskey A. . Moreland C.
Coaches
Joyce W.
Shan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Abbott Z. (Own goal),
18', Jimoh-Aloba J. 🟨,
28', Whitehall A. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Broggio B. ⚽, Jimoh-Aloba J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Wilson R. ↓, Cotcher M. ↑,
46', Sinclair J. ↓, Smith F. ↑,
52', Thompson J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 3, Cotcher M. ⚽,
59', Brannigan C. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
62', Carroll T. 🟨,
71', Thompson K. ↓, McClure B. ↑,
71', Nwosu C. ↓, Berry A. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Hanks J. ⚽,
80', Jimoh-Aloba J. 🟨,
83', 2 - 3, Berry A. ⚽, Newton J. (A),
84', Mulley T. ↓, Moreland C. ↑,
89', Broggio B. ↓, Lynskey A. ↑,
90+4', Hammond B. 🟨,
Preview
Nottingham U21 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Aston Villa U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Nottingham U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Nottingham U21 has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nottingham U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Nottingham Forest U21 - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Willows K. (G) 
Hanks J. 
Newton J. 
Thompson K. 
Sillah L. 
Fortes R. 
Kone M. 
Lynskey A. 
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