Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 2 - NORRLAND - ROUND 11

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Notvikens		IFK Östersunds

	1	X	2
	4.1	4	1.61
	4.5	4	1.5
	4.33	3.75	1.57
	4.4	4.15	1.62
	4.2	4.2	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (4.5)	4.02 ↑ (4)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notvikens
20.9%

Draw
22.4%

IFK Östersunds
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

22%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

20.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notvikens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

IFK Östersunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notvikens than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IFK Östersunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Notvikens is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

IFK Östersunds is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Notvikens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match IFK Östersunds is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Notvikens won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Notvikens won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notvikens IK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
02.06.23	Notvikens - Storfors	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Gottne - Notvikens	3:0 ✺
18.05.23	Notvikens - Kiruna	1:4 ✺
14.05.23	Sandvik - Notvikens	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Notvikens - Frösö	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTT
- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
07.06.23	Frösö - IFK Östersunds	0:2 ✺
03.06.23	IFK Östersunds - Luleå	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Storfors - IFK Östersunds	1:3 ✺
20.05.23	IFK Östersunds - Bergnäsets	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Gottne - IFK Östersunds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
18.09.21	IFK Östersunds - Notvikens	1:1
05.06.21	Notvikens - IFK Östersunds	0:1
30.08.20	IFK Östersunds - Notvikens	9:1

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