Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 24

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Nouadhibou		Police

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.66)	3.8 ↑ (3.4)	5.6 ↑ (4.7)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nouadhibou
59.8%

Draw
23.9%

Police
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.5%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nouadhibou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nouadhibou's performance.

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Dembele K. ⚽,
45+9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 10).

In this match, Nouadhibou is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nouadhibou won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nouadhibou won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nouadhibou	26	17	7	2	49:15	34	58
11	Police	26	5	11	10	28:31	-3	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nouadhibou
Mauritania Ligue 1
04.05.26	Douanes Nouakchott - Nouadhibou	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Nouadhibou - Ksar	5:0 ✺
04.04.26	Nzeidane - Nouadhibou	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Nouadhibou - Gendrim	3:1 ✺
02.03.26	Nouadhibou - Tevragh-Zeina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLWT
- ASC Police
Mauritania Ligue 1
03.05.26	Police - Chemal	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Police - SNIM	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Pompier - Police	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Police - Inter Nouakchott	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Nouakchott Kings - Police	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
27.12.25	Police - Nouadhibou	1:1
27.02.23	Nouadhibou - Police	3:0
23.10.22	Police - Nouadhibou	0:1
20.05.22	Nouadhibou - Police	2:0
07.02.22	Police - Nouadhibou	0:1

Nouadhibou - Police: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide