Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 12

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Nouakchott Academie		Pompier

	1	X	2
	2.47	2.70	3.15	Watch
	2.5	2.6	2.9
	2.44	2.84	2.94
	2.4	2.62	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.66)	2.69 ↓ (3.05)	3.05 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nouakchott Academie
36.8%

Draw
33.6%

Pompier
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

29.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

29.7%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nouakchott Academie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Pompier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pompier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nouakchott Academie than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pompier than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pompier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nouakchott Academie - Pompier Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 4)

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Pompier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Pompiers	26	11	11	4	29:22	7	44
5	Nouakchott Academy	26	10	9	7	32:22	10	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nouakchott Academie
Mauritania Ligue 1
31.12.25	Nouadhibou - Nouakchott Academie	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Inter Nouakchott - Nouakchott Academie	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Nouakchott Academie - Nouakchott Kings	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Police - Nouakchott Academie	0:1 ✺
09.12.25	Nouakchott Academie - Douanes Nouakchott	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TWWWL
- AS Pompier
Mauritania Ligue 1
29.12.25	Pompier - SNIM	1:1 ✺
18.12.25	Pompier - Tevragh-Zeina	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Inter Nouakchott - Pompier	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Pompier - Nouakchott Kings	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Police - Pompier	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWT

Nouakchott Academie - Pompier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide